‘Gonzalo’ set to disrupt air travelPress Association – Mon, Oct 20, 2014 21:46 BSTVThe UK is expected to experience windy, rainy conditions as the remnants of Hurricane …Thousands of air passengers face severe travel disruption tomorrow after a glut of flights were cancelled due to high winds and heavy rain.Heathrow staff tonight confirmed that 10% of flights with the 20 biggest carriers into and out of the London airport would be cancelled, as the r emnants of Hurricane Gonzalo arrive in the UK.Gusts of up to 75mph in coastal areas and 65mph inland will tear across much of the country bringing disruption to many areas, particularly to travel.A Heathrow spokesman said: „There will be some cancellations, around 10% of flights are affected at Heathrow.”We do not know exactly how many passengers or flights that will have an impact on, although the cancellations are only expected for tomorrow.”Sean Penston, a forecaster with MeteoGroup, said: „There will be strengthening winds and rain over Ireland in the middle of the evening as the storm comes in from the Atlantic.”It will reach north-western parts of Britain late in the evening, with gusts up to 45mph over north-western parts of Scotland by midnight, but these will increase to gusts up to 75mph during the night.”The area of rainy, windy weather will then move eastwards, varying in intensity across the UK, with the strongest gusts on the coasts. We can expect gusts up to 65mph in the north west tomorrow morning, and up to 50mph in central and eastern parts of England in the afternoon.”It will remain windy tomorrow evening, but winds will gradually die down as the weather system passes.The Met Office has issued a low level „yellow” weather warning.A spokesman said: ” T he strongest winds are expected on Tuesday as the low pressure clears eastwards.”There remains the potential for localised disruption to travel, especially as the strongest winds will coincide with rush hour in places.”Fallen leaves impeding drainage increases the risk of surface water affecting roads, while some damage to trees is possible, given that many are still in full leaf.”Hurricane Gonzalo last week caused widespread damage and a power blackout when it hit Bermuda.The Bermuda weather service had warned residents not to go outside when the storm’s calm eye moved in, but some ventured out anyway to do quick damage assessments, noting that porches were destroyed and power lines were downed.Royal Navy frigate HMS Argyll has arrived at the tiny British territory to assist in the relief effort if required.The vessel is equipped with a helicopter and a number of small boats to help with reconnaissance and transport, and is also able to assist with power generation, communication and water supplies, the Ministry of Defence said.Defence Secretary Michael Fallon said: „Royal Navy personnel are trained to respond to situations such as this and HMS Argyll is well resourced and ready to provide assistance to the people of Bermuda.”Virgin Trains said that heavy rain which was expected to start tonight may affect travel tomorrow.A spokesman urged anyone planning to travel tonight or tomorrow to check before setting off. Customers with tickets dated tomorrow may travel later today or tonight or on Wednesday if they prefer.
Hurricane Gonzalo Alert Cancels UK FlightsSky News – 16 hours agoVHurricane Gonzalo Alert Cancels UK Flights Thousands of passengers are facing travel disruption afterHeathrow cancelled 10% of its flights due to storms caused by the remnants of Hurricane Gonzalo.A yellow weather warning is in place across most of the UK as the storm system that battered Bermuda concludes its journey across the Atlantic.Heathrow said 10% of flights with its biggest 20 carriers would be cancelled due to high winds.”We do not know exactly how many passengers or flights that will have an impact on, although the cancellations are only expected for Tuesday,” a Heathrow spokesman said.Gusts of more than 55mph are likely inland, but could reach 60 or 70mph in coastal areas.Northern Scotland will have the highest winds – up to 80mph on the coast.The Met Office said: „The public should be aware of the potential for disruption to travel and possible damage to trees.”Difficult driving conditions will result, perhaps exacerbated by surface water and spray in places.”The strongest winds will coincide with the morning rush hour in places.Virgin Trains also warned that heavy rain might affect services on Tuesday.A spokesman said anyone planning to travel should check before setting off. Customers with tickets for Tuesday would be able to travel on Wednesday if they preferred.Hurricane Gonzalo – which at its peak sustained winds of 110mph – caused severe damage and a power blackout when it hit Bermuda at the end of last week.Royal Navy ship HMS Argyll, with a crew of 180, has arrived at the British territory to help with the relief effort if needed.
Gales and heavy rain to hit UKPress Association – Sun, Oct 19, 2014 20:04 BSTViGales and heavy rain are going to sweep across much of the UK The remains of Hurricane Gonzalo will arrive in Britain tomorrow bringing with it gale forces winds and heavy rain that will sweep across much of the country, the Met Office has warned.A low level „yellow” weather warning has been issued by the forecaster for Tuesday when the storm is predicted to cause the most disruption, particularly to travel.Gales of up to 60mph and heavy rain will move eastwards for around 24 hours, mainly affecting Northern Ireland, Northern England, North Wales, Southern and Eastern Scotland.The Met Office said: „The remains of Hurricane Gonzalo will run eastwards across the Atlantic, reaching the UK on Monday night, bringing a period of strong winds and heavy rain to the UK.”T he strongest winds are expected on Tuesday as the low pressure clears eastwards.”Some uncertainty remains in the track and intensity, but there remains the potential for localised disruption to travel, especially as the strongest winds will coincide with rush hour in places.”Fallen leaves impeding drainage increases the risk of surface water affecting roads, while some damage to trees is possible, given that many are still in full leaf.”Hurricane Gonzalo last week caused widespread damage and a power blackout when it hit Bermuda.The Bermuda weather service had warned residents not to go outside when the storm’s calm eye moved in, but some ventured out any way to do quick damage assessments, noting that porches were destroyed and power lines were downed.Royal Navy frigate HMS Argyll has arrived at the tiny British territory to assist in the relief effort if requiredThe vessel is equipped with a helicopter and a number of small boats to help with reconnaissance and transport, and is also able to assist with power generation, communication and water supplies, the Ministry of Defence said.Defence Secretary Michael Fallon said: „Royal Navy personnel are trained to respond to situations such as this and HMS Argyll is well resourced and ready to provide assistance to the people of Bermuda.”
Hurricane Gonzalo Cancels Heathrow FlightsSky News – 23 hours agoPSky News UK Weather Forecast Sky video 0:45ViHurricane Gonzalo Cancels Heathrow Flights Thousands of air passengers face delays on Tuesday as the tail end of Hurricane Gonzalo sweeps across the country bringing heavy rains and high winds.Heathrow airport said 10% of flights with the biggest 20 carriers would be cancelled with gusts of around 80mph forecast in some parts of Britain and Ireland.”We do not know exactly how many passengers or flights that will have an impact on, although the cancellations are only expected for tomorrow,” a Heathrow spokesman said.The Met Office has issued a „yellow” weather warning for every region on Tuesday.Monday night saw wet and windy conditions sweeping eastwards, but the strongest gales are expected as the rain clears early today.”The remains of Hurricane Gonzalo are running across the Atlantic, reaching the UK on Monday night, bringing a period of strong winds to the UK,” the Met Office said.”Gusts exceeding 55mph are likely inland, with 60 to 70mph gusts in some exposed coastal areas in the west and possibly to around 80mph around coasts in northern Scotland.”The public should be aware of the potential for disruption to travel and possible damage to trees.”Difficult driving conditions will result, perhaps exacerbated by surface water and spray in places.”The strongest winds will coincide with the morning rush hour in places.Forecasters for the Republic of Ireland said it would become „very wet and windy” across the country on Monday night, with gales later.Virgin Trains also warned that heavy rain might affect services on Tuesday.A spokesman said anyone planning to travel should check before setting off. Customers with tickets for Tuesday would be able to travel on Wednesday if they preferred.Hurricane Gonzalo last week caused widespread damage and a power blackout when it hit Bermuda.Royal Navy ship HMS Argyll, with a crew of some 180 sailors, has arrived at the tiny British territory to help with the relief effort if needed.
The Weather Channel 2014-2015 Winter Forecast Published: Oct 21, 2014, 2:55 PM EDT weather.com This Year’s Winter Weather ForecastThe Weather Channel has issued its winter forecast for 2014-2015, and it looks a bit different from last winter.Compared to 2013-14, which was one of the coldest winters in recent memory in the Upper Midwest, this winter the chill looks to be more focused on the East Coast and Gulf Coast, according to the winter forecast prepared by WSI, which along with The Weather Channel is part of The Weather Company.The forecast, which looks ahead to temperatures from Dec. 1, 2014 through Feb. 28, 2015, is based on an analysis of several large-scale factors in the land-ocean-atmosphere system.One factor is, as you might expect, the presence or absence of El Nino — an area of warmer-than-average water in the eastern Pacific Ocean near the equator.While El Nino has not developed yet, WSI forecasters expect a weak to moderate El Nino to emerge over the winter months and potentially persist into the spring.(MORE: El Nino: Facts Behind the Impacts)The forecasters caution, however, that the resulting U.S. winter temperature pattern during an El Nino tends to hinge on what happens elsewhere in the atmosphere. One important question is how „blocky” the jet stream will be over North America. In other words, forecasters consider whether the jet stream will loop wildly north and south and tend to get stuck in patterns for long periods of time, or instead tend to blow from west to east and carry weather systems with their alternating warm and cold air masses quickly across the country.Greenland block upper-air weather pattern, one of the patterns responsible for delivering prolonged Arctic outbreaks to the eastern U.S.WSI forecasters point to an early buildup of snow cover across Eurasia — and especially southern Siberia — as a possible hint that the jet stream will behave erratically this winter.The forecasters note that recent scientific research, pioneered by Dr. Judah Cohen of the Atmospheric and Earth Research division of Verisk Analytics, shows a strong connection between October snow cover in Siberia and breakdowns in the stratospheric polar vortex during the mid-winter months. The authors believe the early snow cover may cause a tighter temperature gradient over Asia, strengthening the jet stream. Eventually that momentum may work its way up into the stratosphere, which in turn would knock weather patterns off balance around the Northern Hemisphere several months later.(VIDEO: WX Geeks Discuss the ‘Polar Vortex’)WSI forecasters looked at several other technical indices and long-range computer models that also point to an above-average chance of blocking patterns in the northern latitudes — the kind of patterns that can force bitterly cold air from the polar and Arctic regions southward into the U.S.WSI says that, based on conditions over the Pacific Ocean, the West Coast is more likely to be protected from those intrusions by a northward bulge in the jet stream — known as a high-pressureridge — and that those cold air intrusions are more likely to be pointing toward the East Coast and the Deep South instead.Forecast Highlights Here is an overview of the WSI forecasts for the next three months over the Lower 48. (Note: November is not included in the winter forecast above, and WSI has not released a separate breakout for February.)November: Slightly cooler than average from New Mexico to Michigan to Georgia and points in between. Warmer than average elsewhere, but especially for the West Coast states plus Nevada, Idaho, and Montana.December: Slightly cooler than average for Colorado, New Mexico, the Plains states from Nebraska to Texas, and the lower Mississippi River Valley. Warmer than average elsewhere, but especially in California and southern Nevada as well as the East Coast states from North Carolina to New England.January: Cooler than average from Texas to Wisconsin and points eastward, but particularly cool from the southeast half of Texas east to the Florida Panhandle and inland as far north as the southern tip of Illinois. Warmer than average elsewhere, but especially over the Northwest, northern Rockies, and northern parts of California, Nevada, and Utah.MORE ON WEATHER.COM: Extreme Cold Grips U.S., Jan. 6-8, 2014St. LouisSnow and ice are seen covering up Mississippi River and downtown St. Louis Wednesday, Jan. 8, 2014. (AP Photo/Kiichiro Sato)
Gonzalo’s Remnants Hit the United Kingdom: 2 Killed, Travel Disrupted By Eric Zerkel Published: Oct 21, 2014, 7:10 PM EDT weather.com1 / 21 Gonzalo’s Remnants Hit the U.K.Waves come over the wall at Girvan Harbor on October 21, 2014 in Girvan, Scotland. (Jeff J Mitchell/Getty Images) The remnants of Hurricane Gonzalo swept across the United Kingdom Tuesday, bringing high winds that disrupted travel and downed trees, killing at least two people.Wind gusts reached 80 mph, the BBC reports, and the U.K. Met Office to issue a „yellow warning” — signaling residents to be aware of potential impacts — for windy conditions.And that’s exactly what has played out. There are multiple reports of trees downed by high winds across the region, and in central London, gusty winds caused a tree from foliage-rich Hyde Park to land on a woman walking across the street from Hyde Park Barracks. The woman was pronounced dead on the scene, according to the London Ambulance Service. The second death happened midday in Essex. The UK Telegraph reports high winds collapsed a car jack, sending the van it was holding onto the man underneath it.At least four other people were injured by different falling trees, one in Southwick, England, and another in London.(MORE: Hurricane Gonzalo Recap)In addition to gusty winds, the U.K. Environment Office issued flood warnings for coastal areas in the Anglian region of the U.K., warning of high tides, amplified by tidal surge and strong winds, that could flood residences. The office also issued more than a dozen flood alerts for northern, southern and eastern portions of the U.K., hinting at the possibility for widespread flooding in the region.Hundreds of homes were without power across the U.K.. Up to 100 homes were without power in Moffat, Scotland, due to „extensive damage” from Gonzalo’s remnants, the BBC notes. Additional power outages were reported throughout Scotland from energy provider SSE Power Distribution. Up to 140 homes in Wales were also without power, though that number was down from more than 400 after high winds and rain first impacted the area.(PHOTOS: Gonzalo’s Remnants Lash the U.K.)Gonzalo’s remnants have also had a big impact on travel across the United Kingdom. More than 100 flights have been canceled at Heathrow airport, although the BBC reports that some of the cancelations weren’t weather related.Ferry service has also been disrupted across the U.K. due to high waves. Multiple bridges and roads are closed and at at least two trucks were blown over due to strong gusts of wind. Trains also reported delays, complaining of an inability to grip the tracks in the face of high winds.Gonzalo made landfall on Bermuda as a Category 2 hurricane last Friday, ripping roofs off buildings, downing hundreds of trees and knocking power out to nearly all of the island’s residents.MORE ON WEATHER.COM: Hurricane Gonzalo Tears Through Bermuda, The Caribbean
National Hurricane Center watching developing tropical system in Bay of Campeche Use your key for the next article Next: Orionids to peak this week with a modest 10 to 25 meteors per hour possible October 21, 20143:04 PM MSTForecasters are monitoring an area of low pressure in the southern Bay of Campeche that is showing possible signs of tropical development.Photo courtesy of AccuWeather.com, used with permission The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor an area of disturbed weather in the Bay of Campeche for potential tropical development. An air force reserve reconnaissance aircraft investigating the system this afternoon did find a small well-defined area of low pressure in the southern Bay of Campeche. However, the thunderstorms associated with the low are still not organized enough for this system to be considered a tropical cyclone. If more convection is able to develop around the center of circulation, the system could be quickly named a tropical depression or storm.According to forecasters, upper-level winds could become more conducive for further development by tomorrow, and this system has the potential to become a tropical cyclone before it moves slowly inland over the Mexican state of Campeche in the Yucatán peninsula late tomorrow or early Thursday.Looking ahead later in the week, tropical cyclone formation appears unlikely due to interaction with a cold front while the system is over the northwestern Caribbean Sea, but computer forecast models continue to indicate low pressure meandering in the western Caribbean by Monday of next week. The National Hurricane Center currently gives the system at a 50% chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next two to five days.Folks living in the Yucatan Peninsula should continue to monitor the progress of this system as tropical storm warnings could need to be issued with short notice if the system quickly develops convection around the center of circulation. Regardless of development, the system will continue to bring copious amounts of moisture eastward, producing heavy rainfall in the Yucatan Peninsula, portions of western Cuba, and southern Florida.If this system were to strengthen into a tropical storm, it would be given the name Hanna.Stay tuned for more information on this developing weather situation.
“Water is available two hours a day only”: what an ISIS-run city looks like Updated by Zack Beauchamp on October 21, 2014, 12:30 p.m. ET @zackbeauchamp firstname.lastname@example.orgDON’T MISS STORIES. FOLLOW VOX! By signing up, you agree to our terms.Even the bravest war correspondent can’t report on daily life inside the stretches of Iraq and Syria that ISIS has conquered. So, to get information out to the world, one resident of Mosul, ISIS’s most important conquest in Iraq, is writing live updates from the city anonymously. And it sounds hellish.Mosul Eye, purportedly a local historian, writes anonymously on Facebook and an eponymous blog. It’s very difficult to verify the author’s identity, much less the information he or she provides, so take it with a grain of salt. But close Iraq watchers seem to see Mosul Eye’s dispatches as credible.Mosul, a heavily Sunni enclave that’s also Iraq’s second largest city, sounds like a nightmare under ISIS rule. Here’s an overview from Mosul Eye’s latest:”THE WOMEN OF MOSUL REMAIN THE LARGEST VICTIMS”Electricity has been completely cut out in the city…Oil products continue to rise in cost, unemployment rates are sky-rocketing, and hospitals are lacking the essential drugs and medicine due to ISIS members seizing large amounts of medicine for exclusive use to heal their wounded. The ISIS-controlled clinics spread across the city are abundant with drugs and medicine while public hospitals and clinics suffer a major shortage of healing substances.Water is available two hours a day only for the entire city of Mosul. The amount of water pumped is not enough to save in the roof-tanks. These tanks (which are used to contain water for future purposes) are now 200,000 Iraqi Dinars. Their cost never exceeded 50,000 Iraqi Dinars before.Internally displaced Iraqis from Beigi, Salahadeen, Zummar, Anbar, and other areas have found refuge in Mosul however their living conditions remain dire. The tents these refugees use for shelter are not equipped enough to weather the rain and despite of the harsh financial situation in the city, the local residents of Mosul are contributing with what they can to help.According to this, people don’t have power, water, or, in some cases, adequate shelter. Moreover, the post continues, ISIS has taken over civilian homes throughout the city. They’ve terrified teachers into teaching their own bizarre history curriculum, but almost no students are attending school. And „the women of Mosul remain the largest victims.””I spoke to a college professor,” Mosul Eye recalls, „who told me: ‘I will never leave my home as long as I breathe. I graduated from the United Kingdom. I am a secular, liberal, civil woman and I refuse to submit to these circumstances. I will not wear a burka.’ This lady has not left her home since June 10th, 2014.”An Iraqi soldier travelling away from Mosul. (Marwan Ibrahim/AFP/Getty Images) If things are so horrible then why haven’t Mosul residents risen up against ISIS’s rule? Mosul Eye has aninteresting, complicated answer to that question. Four factors appear to explain it: pro-ISIS sentiment among rural Mosul residents, even stronger pro-ISIS feelings among migrants from nearby Tal Afar, fear of ISIS reprisal, and lack of trust that the Iraqi army is actually interested in helping them. Here’s one particularly chilling story:A merchant was informed he was to pay $100K within a 48 hour period which ended without the demands being met. An explosive device was planted in a car carrying the merchant’s son – on his wedding day – killing him immediately with the bride. He was then told his second would be killed unless the money was doubled. Fearing another loss, the man gave in.ISIS’s „fear will keep them in line” strategy appears to be working in Mosul, at least in the short run. This level of brutality has backfired against ISIS before: an anti-ISIS uprising in 2006 nearly destroyed the group back when it was al-Qaeda in Iraq. But Mosul’s Sunni residents are unlikely to rise up so long as they don’t have a viable armed group to rely on for protection. And until Sunni militias turn on ISIS, or trust in Iraq’s army improves, they won’t.Related: The US is bombing Syria and Iraq to destroy ISIS. Here’s why that won’t work: