Strengthening coastal storm to soak Northeast, agitate seasKyle Elliott•Weather systems will converge and stall over Atlantic waters near the Northeast this week, which will pave the way for not only rain, but also problems related to rough seas, gusty winds and coastal flooding in some areas.A cold front moving through the northeastern United States on Monday will stall off the Eastern Seaboard and spawn a strengthening storm system that will force rain and wind back over land.The entirety of the mid-Atlantic and Northeast will be soaked by rain into Monday night as the front moves through, with a bit of a lull expected on Tuesday before more widespread wet weather returns by midweek.
A high pressure system settling over northern New England and the Canadian Maritimes this week will combine with the flow around the storm system to channel strong, gusty winds and moisture back into the Interstate 95 corridor from Boston to Washington, D.C.There is some chance that this storm develops tropical or subtropical characteristics, and AccuWeather meteorologists will be monitoring the system to see if it becomes the next named tropical entity later this week.”There are some similarities to the Halloween Storm, otherwise known as the ‘Perfect Storm’ from 1991, but on a much smaller and less-intense scale,” according to AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski.Tropical and non-tropical systems converged, merged and stalled off the Atlantic coast from late October to early November, 1991. The powerful, slow-moving storm system from 28 years ago produced massive seas and coastal flooding for days.
|A weather system over the eastern United States and a feature hovering off of the Atlantic coast are seen on a satellite image Monday morning, Oct. 7, 2019. (NOAA/GOES-EAST)|
„We may not even get a tropical system to form out of the set up, but the point is there will be a strengthening, slow-moving storm out there agitating the ocean that will attempt to throw some rain and rough seas back toward the coastal Northeast for a time later this week,” Sosnowski said.”Regardless of whether or not the system is named, it will have the potential to cause rough surf, coastal flooding and rip currents at the mid-Atlantic and New England beaches for several days,” he added.Anybody planning on surfing or swimming in the Atlantic Ocean this week should be aware of these threats and stay out of the water if necessary.”Operators of small craft and cruise interests should monitor the situation carefully as seas are likely to build substantially as the week progresses,” Sosnowski said.
With days of unsettled weather ahead, some places from the Delmarva Peninsula to eastern Pennsylvania, New Jersey and southeastern New York could receive as much as 2 or 3 inches of rain by week’s end.Aside from causing travel delays and slippery roadway conditions, the rain will largely be beneficial since much of the mid-Atlantic and New England is currently experiencing abnormally dry to moderate drought conditions, according to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor.Gusty winds and unseasonably cool air will accompany the damp weather. High temperatures will be no better than the low 60s in New York City on Wednesday and Thursday, and the mid- to upper 60s in Baltimore and Washington, D.C.In comparison to the record-breaking heat these areas expected during the first few days of October, the upcoming chill may come as quite the shock and send residents scurrying for sweatshirts and jackets.Wind gusts as high as 40 mph are expected along the immediate coastline, and gusts up to 30 mph may reach the major cities of the I-95 corridor.Not only will the consecutive days of gusty winds make the outdoor air feel even chillier, but they will also enhance the risk of beach erosion and rapidly bring down leaves that have begun to change.Unfortunately, it is not until the weekend that dry, calmer and milder conditions are forecast to return to the mid-Atlantic. However, the storm may then lift northward and send rain into parts of northern New England this weekend.
„Those along the coast, as well as in Atlantic Canada, should monitor the evolution of this system this week,” Sosnowski said.
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South Jeolla, Gangwon, and Gyeongsang provinces were hit “directly” and received the brunt of the storm’s damage, reports said.This video, taken on Thursday, shows a flooded street near Gangneung Station in Gangneung, a city in Gangwon province. Credit: 철더어억/Iron via Storyful
A polar bear that came to live at a zoo from the circus led to an overhaul in the way the animals are cared for in captivity, according to experts.
Misha displayed disturbing behaviours such as pacing until his feet bled and swaying his head after arriving at Bristol Zoo in 1979.
Before coming to the zoo, Misha is believed to have spent about 10 years confined to a travelling circus cage.
He paced four steps forward and four steps back – the shape of his old travelling wagon – despite having a larger enclosure at the zoo.
Hundreds of angry letters about Misha’s plight were sent to the zoo, with newspapers describing the bear as being “in a pit of despair”.
A BBC Inside Out West documentary has revealed how the bear’s state caused widespread controversy and led to calls for Misha to be released or put down.
Alison Cronin, who studied Misha and now runs Monkey World in Dorset, said issues raised by his case were widespread at that time.
“It’s the lack of an appropriate environment on just about any level,” Dr Cronin told the BBC.
“You lay down a concrete slab, you paint it white: voila you have the Arctic. And that was sort of the simplistic attitude of a lot of these old bear enclosures.
“It was a turning point in terms of the management of polar bears kept in captivity.
“Bear enclosures have improved and those that exist in UK today are quite spectacular actually.”
The zoo commissioned a number of studies into Misha’s behaviour and changes were made to improve his life but he never recovered fully.
Misha was euthanised in 1992 following the death of his companion Nina.
Andy Flack, a lecturer at the University of Bristol, said the zoo began replacing larger animals on its site with smaller, endangered ones.
“Misha’s behaviour had profound influence well beyond his death,” he told the BBC.
The polar bear is still a talking point at the zoo, where he is on display stuffed.
Simon Garrett, head of education at the zoo, said the bear’s life there had been “much better than he had in the circus he’d come from where he’d been confined to a travelling cage for we think about 10 years”.
“Whether you’re any age, when you see a polar bear like this it brings it home it’s real,” he said.
“He’s got a great legacy and we still use him now, and will into the future, for engaging people, teaching them about climate change and what’s going on with polar bears in the wild.”
:: BBC Inside Out West will air on BBC One West at 7.30pm on Monday and be available on iPlayer afterwards.
In Argentina’s Pampas, rain clouds spell hope for arid soils
By Maximilian Heath
AZUL, Argentina (Reuters) – Gastón Blanchard, a farmer in Argentina’s Pampas grains belt, has his eyes on the horizon waiting for rain. Clouds are starting to build, which he hopes will bring much-needed showers for his wheat crop, parched by months of dry weather.
A lot is hanging on the rains for Blanchard – and Argentina, one of the world’s top sellers of soybeans and a key player in wheat and corn. Drought two seasons ago badly damaged crops, while favourable weather drove record harvests earlier this year.
In Blanchard’s farm, outside the town of Azul, water is clearly needed. The tips of the wheat leaves are burned and yellow, and unusually the earth furrows between the June-planted crop are easily visible, a sign of delayed growth.
„We started with good soil moisture. But after July and August it was two months in a row with zero water,” Blanchard said, while standing among the plants in his 330-hectare lot some 300 km (186.41 miles) southwest of capital city Buenos Aires.
September did not bring much relief either, Blanchard said, with only 15 mm (0.59 inches) of rainfall, a pattern reflected in key growing areas of Córdoba, La Pampa and Buenos Aires province, a region with 40% of the country’s wheat.
Esteban Copati, head of agricultural forecasts at the Buenos Aires grains exchange, said that in areas where recent rains had not exceeded 15-20 mm, crops were being affected.
„It is likely that the lack of moisture and cold will have a direct impact on the crop, on the yield,” he said.
The exchange has previously forecast a record 2019/20 wheat crop of 21 million tons, but warned last week the crop in some parts of the country was in critical condition.
Rain clouds are, however, bringing hope at a key juncture.
„You have to wait to see how the climate evolves during these next weeks, which are critical because it’s now when you begin to define the crop yield in most of the national farming regions,” said Copati.
He added weather patterns appeared to be returning to normal, with rains expected in October and in the last months of the year when wheat harvesting begins.
Blanchard said his wheat crop received about 10 mm of rain in early October, but needed more to grow properly.
„We’re looking forward hopefully to better weather. It is key this happens so that the yields the crops can generate is not destroyed,” he said. „The plants are still in the game, but they need water now.”
(Reporting by Maximilian Heath in Azul; Editing by Adam Jourdan and Richard Chang)
Will 3-year hurricane streak be snapped this October — or extended to 4 years?
|People walk amidst destruction on the main street of Mexico Beach, Fla., in the aftermath of Hurricane Michael on Thursday, Oct. 11, 2018.|
October is too early for Christmas sales, songs and decorations. And it should be too late in most places for summer weather, summer wear, and summer hurricanes, right?While the flip flops certainly should be flipped, hurricane season is far from over. Several of the most deadly, destructive hurricanes have struck the United States in October, including Hurricane Michael last year, which has its one-year anniversary on October 10.”Michael and Sandy are the two poster children of October hurricanes,” said AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski.October has brought an Atlantic U.S.-landfalling hurricane for three straight years (2016-18), which is the longest streak since it occurred for five straight years from 1946-50. Two of the three – Michael (2018) and Matthew (2016) – had their names retired because of the devastation they caused.
Other October hurricanes that saw their names retired include Sandy (2012), Lili (2002), Opal (1995) and Hazel (1954).
October is the third-most common month for Atlantic landfalling hurricanes in the continental U.S. A total of 18 Atlantic basin hurricanes have made landfall on U.S. soil in October since 1950 – behind September (44) and August (27) – according to AccuWeather research based on National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) data, which does not include the 2019 season. The Atlantic Hurricane season lasts from June 1 through November 30, though there have been storms outside of those dates on rare occasions.
So far there have been 12 named storms in the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane season, which is progressing much as AccuWeather forecast back on April 3.
AccuWeather meteorologists called for a total of 12 to 14 named systems for 2019, which includes both tropical storms and hurricanes for the Atlantic basin through the end of the year. Of the 12-14 named systems, AccuWeather predicted five to seven of those storms to become hurricanes and two to four to become major hurricanes.
Of the 12 named storms so far in 2019, five were hurricanes and three were major hurricanes. A hurricane has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater while a major hurricane, a Category 3 or higher, has maximum sustained winds of 111 mph or higher.
AccuWeather also forecast two to four Atlantic storms to hit the U.S.; there have been three so far. NOAA predicted 10-17 named storms with five to nine hurricanes and two to four major hurricanes for 2019.
„We’re very cognizant of our responsibility and the importance of getting information around hurricanes and all severe storms as precise and as accurate as possible and explaining the impact so that people, companies, emergency management people and the government agencies we serve make the right decision,” said AccuWeather Founder and CEO Dr. Joel N. Myers.
Historically, 13 of the 18 October U.S.-landfalling hurricanes since 1950 hit after October 7.
„Right now, I think there will be at least one to three named storms the rest of this season,” said AccuWeather’s Kottlowski. „I think the season will end up with 14 or 15 named storms. The season is not over yet.”