The Old Farmer’s Almanac’s Christmas Weather Forecast Calls for Snow Across the U.S.
- The Old Farmer’s Almanac released its Christmas weather predictions.
- The forecast for December 25 calls for snow in much of the country.
- Other regions will experience rain over the holidays.
Winter weather may be a disaster for holiday travel, but there’s still something magical about waking up on December 25 and seeing a fresh blanket of powder covering the ground.If you’re dreaming of a white Christmas, you might be in luck: The Old Farmer’s Almanac predicts that several parts of the United States will get snow this year.According to the publication’s famous long-range predictions, people living in the Northeast can expect „a snowy, picturesque Christmas Day.” It’s also likely that states in the Lower Lakes, Upper Midwest, Heartland, High Plains, and Intermountain region will have a white Christmas.These fresh flakes are forecasted to fall in the days just before the holiday, in alignment with the Almanac‘s prediction that the U.S. will experience a „snow-verload” this winter.”The 2020 Old Farmer’s Almanac is calling for frequent snow events—from flurries to no fewer than seven big snowstorms from coast to coast,” explains a press release for the annual extended forecast.
However, those snowstorms aren’t all going to arrive on Christmas. Some parts of the country, like the Appalachians and Ohio Valley, will experience weather that’s more wet than white. It’s also predicted to rain in parts of Florida, the Southeast, and along the Pacific coast.
The Old Farmer’s Almanac was 80.5% accurate in predicting last year’s crazy winter weather, so you might want to pair some snow boots with your family’s matching Christmas pajamas this year.
A blasting freeze this week has left many regions of the Upper Midwest frozen in place. In areas across states such as North Dakota and Minnesota, subzero temperatures have dotted the map and for some, the mercury has been frozen below zero for a few days amid a brutal cold snap that AccuWeather forecasters began warning readers and TV viewers about days ago.
In Minnesota, temperatures in Chanhassen fell all the way down to minus 4 degrees Fahrenheit, 18 degrees colder than the average low temperature on Monday, Dec. 9. On Wednesday morning, conditions only got colder, as a reading of minus 5 F was recorded at Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport at 6:53 a.m., local time. The airport also experienced an AccuWeather RealFeel® Temperature below 0F for 48 consecutive hours, starting at 10 a.m. CST Monday and ending just after 10 a.m. CST Wednesday.
|Christmas wreaths laden with freshly fallen snow are displayed for sale at Boston Hill Farm, Wednesday, Dec. 11, 2019, in North Andover, Mass. (AP Photo/Elise Amendola)|
Factoring in a steady, bone-chilling breeze over the last few days has only made conditions worse. According to AccuWeather Meteorologist Brett Rossio, AccuWeather RealFeel® Temperatures plunged below minus 30 degrees for some locations in the Midwest by midweek. Fargo, North Dakota, bottomed out at minus 33 on Wednesday morning, while the RealFeel Temperature in St. Cloud, Minnesota, was dragged down to minus 30.
The punishing cold, which has come alongside an Alberta clipper in the region, has impacted communities like Duluth, Minnesota, to the point of communities opening warming centers for shelter. According to local news outlet Fox 21, nine residents stayed overnight at Gloria Dei Lutheran Church on Monday night.
„We’re here to work with our neighbors here in this neighborhood,” church council member Char Matheson said. „Helping to build up our neighbors, bring them in from the cold so to speak.”
|Christmas trees laden with freshly fallen snow are displayed for sale at Boston Hill Farm, Wednesday, Dec. 11, 2019, in North Andover, Mass. (AP Photo/Elise Amendola)|
The low in Duluth reached all the way down to minus 14 on Wednesday morning. Fosston, Minnesota, plunged even lower on Wednesday morning, hitting minus 24 degrees.
Meanwhile, AccuWeather reporter Jonathan Petramala broadcasts from one area in Minneapolis where pedestrians can experience temperatures of 70 degrees year-round, despite extreme weather outside. His journey to catch an airplane, however, was a bit colder.
|Icicles cover Minnehaha Falls in Minneapolis, Minnesota on Wednesday afternoon. (Twitter/Saar Hodne)|
Elsewhere in the Midwest, North Dakota saw temperatures of minus 14 in Bismarck and minus 17 in Fargo while the NWS office in Grand Forks reported a wind chill of minus 42 in McHenry.
„Dress warm in layers and limit exposed skin this morning,” the NWS office advised on Twitter. „Even by our standards, this is very cold for December.”
Meteorologists in Grand Forks also shared an animated satellite image that depicted how cold the surface of the Earth was across Minnesota, North Dakota and Wisconsin.
Although the frigid air lost some of its sting as it moved into the East, according to AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski, the cold was accompanied by steady-falling snow in areas such as northern New York and central Massachusetts.
Around Buffalo, New York, heavy lake-effect snow blanketed areas across Niagara County as bitter cold moved across the relatively mild waters of Lake Erie.
In Massachusetts, snow totals reached 6 inches in areas around Worcester County and Brimfield.
Even areas closer to the coast woke up to a wintry scene on Wednesday morning. AccuWeather reporter Dexter Henry captured a wintry mix falling as New Yorkers were greeted by plummeting temperatures for the start of Hump Day.
Caspar Haarloev from „Into the Ice” documentary via Reuters
- The Greenland ice sheet is melting seven times faster than it was in 1992 — an increase that’s even greater than scientists expected.
- According to a new study, Greenland has lost more than 4.2 trillion tons of ice in the last quarter-century, which raised global sea levels 0.4 inches.
- The melt rate is expected to increase, especially during years like this one, since a heatwave in July caused Greenland’s ice sheet to lose 55 billion tons in just five days.
- Ice melt due to climate change contributes to sea-level rise, which leads to flooding in coastal areas worldwide.
- Visit Business Insider’s homepage for more stories.
Greenland’s ice sheet is losing ice seven times faster than it was in 1992 — a rate that tracks with one of the worst-case scenarios predicted by climate scientists.
According to a study published today in the journal Nature, Greenland has lost more than 4.2 trillion tons of ice since 1992. That’s roughly the amount of water in Lake Michigan, or the equivalent of 1.5 billion Olympic-sized swimming pools.
This melting in Greenland has already raised seas by 0.4 inches since 1992. If the current melt rate continues, Greenland will add another 2.75 inches to global sea levels by 2100, according to Andrew Shepherd, the lead author of the study. That means more people living in coastal areas will be at risk of flooding from sea level-rise.
„The most surprising aspect by far is that the increased sea-level rise, which may seem small to most people but is enough to cause an extra 40 million people to experience annual floods,” Shepherd told Business Insider. „Small changes in sea-level rise do matter.”
On track for a worst-case scenario
Ian Joughin, University of Washington
Roughly 656,000 square miles in size, the Greenland ice sheet covers an area almost three times that of Texas. Together with Antarctica’s ice sheet, it contains more than 99% of the world’s fresh water.
Most of that water is frozen in masses of ice and snow that can be up to 10,000 feet thick. But as greenhouse gases build up in the atmosphere, the oceans absorb 93% of the excess heat those gases trap. The warming air and water are leading ice sheets to melt at unprecedented rates.
For the new study, almost 100 polar scientists used satellite data to produce the most complete picture of Greenland ice loss to date. They documented changes in the ice sheet’s volume and in the flow of melted water into the ocean between 1992 and 2018.
The results showed that the rate of ice loss in Greenland has increased from 36 billion tons per year in the 1990s to 280 billion tons per year in the last decade — a seven-fold increase.
A study published earlier this year offered similar findings: Those scientists calculated that the current rate of Greenland’s ice loss is six times faster than the rate four decades ago.
The new study also found that Greenland’s ice loss peaked in 2011, when the sheet sloughed off 369 billion tons of ice — 10 times the annual average melt rate in the 1990s — during a period of intense melting.
Yearly ice loss has since dropped to an average of 262 billions tons, though Shepherd and his co-authors noted that this average does not include 2019’s unusually hot summer.
A summer of excess melting
The ominous news about Greenland comes in the wake of another worrisome finding: Antarctica’s melting is also speeding up. In the 1980s, Antarctica lost 40 billion tons of ice annually. In the last decade, that number jumped to an average of 252 billion tons per year — just a hair behind Greenland’s new average.
The biggest difference between the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets is that the latter is less impacted by seasonal melting that’s driven by global warming, Shepherd said. In the Arctic, meanwhile, summer melting makes it harder for scientists to anticipate what the Greenland melt rate will be in a given year. (Melting season runs from June through August, with peak melting in July.)
„In Greenland, accounting for weather is a challenge too, as hot summers like 2012 and 2019 are difficult to predict as they are elsewhere on the planet,” Shepherd added.
This summer, extreme melting followed the hottest month ever recorded (July), as an intense heat wave hit Europe then wafted over to Greenland. From July 30 to August 3, melting occurred across 90% of the continent’s surface, dumping 55 billion tons of water over five days. That’s enough to cover Florida in almost 5 inches of water. On August 1, Greenland’s ice sheet lost 12.5 billions tons of ice, more than any day since researchers started recording ice loss in 1950.
NASA via Associated Press
Scientists didn’t expect to see Greenland melt at this rate for another 50 years: By the last week of July, the melting had reached levels that scientists with the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) had projected for the year 2070, in the most pessimistic scenario.
400 million people may be at risk of coastal flooding by 2100
The IPCC has estimated that global sea levels could rise by 2 feet (60 centimeters) by 2100, putting 360 million people at risk of annual coastal flooding. But the new study shows that if Greenland’s current trend continues, seas would rise 2.75 inches more than the IPCC’s prediction — which would put an additional 40 million people at risk.
„As a rule of thumb, for every centimeter rise in global sea level, another 6 million people are exposed to coastal flooding around the planet,” Shepherd said in a press release.
Ian Joughin, University of Washington
He added: „These are not unlikely events or small impacts; they are happening and will be devastating for coastal communities.”
Read the original article on Business Insider
For one scientist familiar with the New Zealand volcano that erupted on Monday and killed at least six people, it was “a disaster waiting to happen.”
“In 2003 when I stepped into the crater, I got this uncomfortable feeling that this is not a safe place to be,” Ray Cas, professor emeritus at Monash University in Melbourne, Australia, and a past president of the International Association for Volcanology, tells PEOPLE.
“You are immediately in this large amphitheater with very steep walls, it’s a very enclosed space, and if something happens there is almost nowhere you can go,” he says. “And on the floor of the crater there are volcanic gas vents making noxious sulfurous gases, and there are crater lakes filled with water almost at the boiling point.”
“The problem with that volcano, it can be highly unpredictable and erratic,” says Cas, who visited the volcano twice. “Even when the alert level [for an eruption] is relatively low, you can get unexpected explosions, which means it is just unacceptable to allow the general public to walk around the inside of the crater of a very active volcano that can explode at any time, as we witnessed on Monday.”
In 2014, Brad Scott, a volcano expert with New Zealand’s science institute GNS who visited White Island for almost 40 years, expressed his concerns about tourism at the volcano.
“We don’t visit but they still go,” he told the New Zealand Herald of tour operators taking visitors to the island despite conditions that made volcanologists “anxious.” GNS scientists also had “terse discussions” with the tour operators, according to the Herald.
And in a 2013 video, volcanologist Clive Oppenheimer of Cambridge University said there was concern “about the hazards” of the volcano’s heightened activity.
“You have to consider how important is it to collect the data. Is it worth risking your life for?” he asked.
A New Zealand father and daughter on their way back from a day exploring a local volcano together went from sightseers to first responders in the blink of an eye after the volcano erupted without warning.
The blast sent dozens of injured victims scrambling — and many found refuge in the tour boat carrying Geoff Hopkins and daughter Lillani, 22, away from White Island Monday afternoon.
“[There was] lots of screaming, panicked screaming,” Geoff, 50, told CNN. “[They were shouting], ‘Get me out of here, I’m burning, I’m burning!’”
Forty-seven people were on the island when the volcano erupted, and 23 managed to board Hopkins’ vessel, which he said turned around once its passengers and crew realized what had happened.
“A rolling, rumbling mass of ash tumbled over the cliff face, in all directions, and it completely engulfed the island,” Geoff told The New York Times. “It cut out the sun, it went dark. You couldn’t see that there was an island there. It was completely covered in ash.”
Because Geoff, a local pastor, and his daughter were both trained in first aid, they were called upon to help the victims, many of whom suffered severe burns to their face, arms and legs, as they swam off the island.
“There were 23 people that had their lives in our hands,” Lillani told Stuff. “It was probably the longest two hours of my life.”
She said she looked after two critical patients, while her father tended to about five people in critical condition.
Lillani said many helpers wound up wearing only their bras as they stripped off their clothes to try and help keep the burn victims warm as they went into shock.
“In the last 10 minutes we ran out of fresh water and there was nothing I could do but be with them,” she said. “A lot of people were just screaming and crying. The whole way back.”
For Geoff, two victims — Virginia-based newlyweds Matthew Urey and Lauren Barham — have haunted his mind since that fateful day, when he worked hard to keep them conscious.
“She said, ‘This is the worst day of my life.’ And I had to say, ‘Yes it is. But you’ve got so much more of your life to live,’” Geoff told CNN. “When she says, ‘I don’t think I’m gonna make it,’ you rebuke that. ‘You are gonna make it. You’re strong. You’re a fighter. You’re gonna get through this. You’ve got a future.’”
RELATED VIDEO: Missing Newlyweds Found Suffering Severe Burns Following Desperate Search After Volcano Eruption
The couple — who were traveling on Royal Caribbean’s cruise ship Ovation of the Seas — previously made headlines after Matthew left his mother a harrowing voicemail informing her of the situation.
“It’s absolutely soul-crushing. It’s my worst nightmare,” his mother Janet Urey told CNN. “But on the other hand I’m trying to focus on the positive. I was lucky enough to be notified by Matt that was okay. There were so many families that didn’t get any word. Minutes could have been life or death for them.”
She said 33 percent of her son’s body was burned in the eruption, and that his severe injuries will require plastic surgery and skin grafts.
“It was his trip of a lifetime,” she said. “He put so much work and effort and time into planning this to make it just what they wanted. This would be the perfect honeymoon.”
Lauren’s mother Barbara Barham confirmed to PEOPLE on Tuesday that she was en route to New Zealand to see her daughter.
Barham said Lauren was recovering from burns covering 20 percent of her body at a hospital in Auckland, the Washington Post reported.
There are 29 patients being treated in intensive care and burn units at four different hospitals throughout New Zealand, Dr. Peter Watson, chief medical officer of Counties Manukau Health, said at a press conference Wednesday. Twenty-four of the burn patients remain in critical condition.
Eight people were killed in the Monday blast, which happened just after 2 p.m. while 47 travelers were on the island, police said.
Thirty-eight of the tourists — who were from the United States, Australia, China, Germany, Malaysia, New Zealand and the United Kingdom — were traveling on Royal Caribbean’s cruise ship Ovation of the Seas, the New Zealand Herald reported.
The Arctic is increasingly at risk as temperatures warm and sea ice melts away, NOAA warns in its annual report card on the state of this crucial ecosystem. At the end of a very dense, very lengthy report loaded with scores of scientific stats, the seemingly abstract , which supports infrastructure and people, is literally giving way. „We are seeing coastal landslides, large sinkholes and methane bubbling up through our ponds in summer,” the indigenous authors write. It’s that last part, methane release, or greenhouse gases in general, that extends far beyond the Arctic.
That’s because permafrost soils, composed partially of carbon-rich organic matter, contain at least two times the amount of carbon than there is currently in the atmosphere. Because of warming, permafrost is no longer a net sink for carbon; it has become a net emitter of heat-trapping greenhouse gases into the atmosphere.
Dr. Ted Schuur is the author of the permafrost section of the report. He says these emission signals are „kind of like a ‘canary in a coal mine’ telling us that permafrost ecosystems are out of historical balance, and are starting to cause climate change to happen faster.” This is yet another feedback which accelerates Arctic amplification.
That acceleration is vividly illustrated by melting water cascading into the ocean from Greenland. According to a separate study released Tuesday, Greenland is shedding ice seven times faster than in the 1990s. This pace is on the high end of the warming scenarios laid out by the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). As a result, the study estimates that 40 million more people worldwide will be exposed to coastal flooding by 2100, for a total of 400 million.
Greenland ice melt in 2019 (in red), compared to the record year of 2012 (in purple). NOAA
The Arctic Report Card makes clear that what happens in the Arctic will not stay in the Arctic — the changes reverberate all around the world and will only accelerate as the globe continues to heat. But the ones most at risk right now are the indigenous people who count on knowledge passed through the generations.
„The world from our childhood is no longer here. Our young children today are seeing so much change, but it is difficult for them to understand the pace. We are losing so much of our culture and connections to the resources from our ocean and lands,” they write.
Beach lovers, beware: Large and possibly dangerous Pacific Ocean waves are headed for stretches of the California and Oregon coastline starting Thursday, forecasters predict.
From Big Sur on California’s Central Coast all the way up to Southern Oregon, the National Weather Service is warning of waves as high as 20 or 25 feet.
That includes a high surf advisory for the coastal San Francisco Bay Area, from the Point Reyes National Seashore down through San Francisco, north Monterey Bay and Big Sur, the NWS office in San Francisco said Wednesday afternoon. The advisory in that region begins Thursday at 3 p.m. and ends at 3 a.m. on Saturday, with forecasters warning of breakers up to 22 feet.
“Use extra caution near the surf zone as these large waves will be capable of sweeping people into the frigid and turbulent ocean water,” forecasters said. “Cold water shock may cause cardiac arrest, and it also can cause an involuntary gasp reflex causing drowning, even for a good swimmer.”
There’s also a heightened risk of sneaker waves, rip currents and beach erosion in the area.
The large Northern California waves are expected as a result of a storm in the Gulf of Alaska, SFGate reports.
“The high winds associated with that storm are generating the swell that should get there by Thursday,” said Spencer Tangen, a forecaster at Monterey’s NWS office, according to SFGate.
Further north in California, the NWS office in Eureka warns that “a significant swell will bring large surf to the northwest California coast” on Thursday and Friday, resulting in high surf advisories there as well.
“Large breaking waves will wash farther up beaches, over rocks and jetties, and will generate hazardous conditions around and within the Humboldt Bay Harbor entrance channel,” Eureka forecasters said in a Facebook post Wednesday. “Beachgoers should use extra caution when venturing closer to the surf zone.”
Along the Southern Oregon coast, high surf is expected to roll in Thursday morning to Friday afternoon, the NWS office in Medford, Oregon, said in a Facebook post on Monday.
Breaking waves could reach 20 to 25 feet, forecasters said.
“Although the power of these large waves can be awe-inspiring, it can be deadly too,” forecasters in Oregon said, urging caution on beaches. “Keep a safe distance from the ocean. Jetties, rocks, and logs are NOT safe places to be.”
The NWS office in Los Angeles also issued a high surf advisory from Thursday at 6 a.m. to noon on Monday for the Central California coast from San Luis Obispo County to Santa Barbara County, anticipating “large breaking waves of 10 to 16 feet with dangerous rip currents.”
Heavy lake-effect snow coupled with gusty wind reduced visibility for drivers in western New York on Wednesday, December 11, the National Weather Service (NWS) said.
‘Lake-effect’ snow occurs when cold air moves over warmer lake water, creating thick clouds and generating heavy snowfalls.
One to two inches of snow was forecast to fall per hour, the NWS said. Forecasters said wind gusts up to 40 mph and consequent blowing snow could make visibility “very poor.” The NWS said snow could make roads slippery and create “hazardous” travel conditions.
These videos were taken from town of Le Roy, New York. Credit: Joseph Frascati via Storyful
SAEED KHAN/AFP via Getty Images)
- Boeing removed a feature that protects its 787 planes during lightning strikes even after Federal Aviation Administration experts objected, The Seattle Times reported.
- The FAA approved the change after Boeing appealed its rejection, which had said Boeing could not sufficiently prove that the fuel tank would not ignite.
- The FAA’s decision will today be scrutinized by the House Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure in light of its oversight of Boeing’s 737 Max planes, which was involved in two fatal crashes.
- Rep. DeFazio, chair of the committee, said in a November letter to the FAA that both issues „suggest that the opinions and expert advice of the F AA’s safety and technical experts are being circumvented or sidelined.”
- Visit Business Insider’s homepage for more stories.
Boeing removed a feature that protects its 787 planes during lightning strikes as a cost-cutting measure even after technical experts from the Federal Aviation Administration experts objected, according to a new report from The Seattle Times.
The House Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure will today grill FAA Administrator Steve Dickson about why the FAA’s managers ultimately approved the change, which involved removing copper foil from part of the 787 Dreamliner’s wings.
Chairman Peter DeFazio, a representative for Oregon, said in a letter to the FAA in November that the committee had received „information and documents suggesting Boeing implemented a design change on its 787 Dreamliner lightning protection features to which multiple FAA specialists ultimately rejected.”
He said that the removal of the copper foil could „increase the number of ignition sources in the fuel tanks” in the event of lightning strikes.
The Seattle Times reported that Boeing designed the Dreamliner, which first started flying in 2009, with both an insulating cap and the copper foil on the wings to protect the plane during lightning strikes.
A police officer in Scotland requested a road closure after a lorry toppled over onto his car as high winds lashed the country.
The static police vehicle was „carrying out scene protection” after another lorry had toppled over between the two carriageways of the A1 between Haddington and Dunbar at around 10.15am on Tuesday.
It came on the same day a crane snapped in half at a building site in south London during high winds.
Footage of the incident in Scotland was posted on Twitter by Chief Superintendent Stewart Carle, head of the road policing unit, who said he was „relieved that one of my road patrol sergeants was not seriously injured”.
He said the officer, who he named as Sergeant Easton, „was as cool as a cucumber” during the incident involving his BMW.
Road Policing Scotland
#A1 UPDATE AS OF 3.30PM
Please travel with care.
Mr Carle said that during the call, the sergeant inside the car said: „We need to close the A1 now: a lorry has just toppled on to my patrol car. And I just polished it yesterday!”
A Police Scotland spokeswoman confirmed no-one was seriously injured in the incident, which closed the road until around 10pm.
Mr Carle added: „I nearly spilt my mug of tea but was quickly reassured when told the BMW was a ’64 plate!”
Read more from Yahoo News UK:
It was the second incident recorded of lorries toppling over on the road due to severe weather on Tuesday.